Allen, David E.; McAleer, Michael; Powell, Robert; … - 2015
an initial shock and on history, minus the baseline expectation that conditions on history. This makes the process … endogenous, but the choice of the baseline shock within the data set makes a difference. We explore the impact of three different … government allowed the investment bank Lehman Brothers to go bankrupt (GFC2). The third shock is 9 May 2010, which marked the …