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This paper empirically examines the long-run pass through of the official exchange rates into trade balance in Nigeria by means of threshold cointegration and asymmetric error correction modeling. The study provides evidence for non-linear cointegration between our variables of interest. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449671
This study examined the short-run and long-run effects of real exchange rate changes on the Nigeria's trade balance. The paper employed both linear and non-linear ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration to test for the J-curve phenomenon in Nigeria using quarterly data spanning the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348398
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011795021
The broad purpose of trade liberalisation is to raise the rate of growth of countries on a sustainable basis, consistent with the achievement of other macroeconomic objectives. In this paper we consider whether trade liberalisation in seventeen countries of Latin America has improved the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003051018
The literature of trade balance and exchange rate devaluation have enjoyed enormous reviews with different decays ranging from aggregation bias, specification bias to the exclusion of effects of structural breaks on bilateral trade flows. This motivates this study to investigate the J-curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215454
This research presents first empirical time series evidence of the asymmetric impact of exchange rate changes on Britain's trade balances with her 8 trading partners. Recent advances in time series and cointegration analysis have allowed for the estimation of the nonlinear effects of currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983492
This paper provides new evidence on the long-run relationship between trade and budget deficits in ten African countries over the quarterly period 1973:2 - 2005:4. Cointegration analyses are based on four approaches: Harris-Inder (1994), Shin (1994), Geweke and Porter-Hudak (1983) and Sowell...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199220
The objectives of this paper are to study the impact of liberalisation on trade deficits and current accounts of developing countries. It is expected that trade liberalisation would promote economic growth from the supply side by leading to a more efficient use of resources, by encouraging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070258
This paper proposes a new risk factor based on a multi-country's trading imbalance network to explain foreign exchange rate fluctuations and currency risk premia associated with a currency carry trade strategy. We build a directed in-degree trading network of global countries linked by their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822806
What are the effects of increased trade in goods and services on the trade balance? We study the effects of reducing transport costs in a Ricardian model with complete asset markets and find that this increases the volatility of the trade balance. This result applies regardless of whether supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014119190