We present an extrapolative model of bubbles. In the model, many investors form their demand for a risky asset by weighing two signals—an average of the asset's past price changes and the asset's degree of overvaluation. The two signals are in conflict, and investors “waver” over time in...

Behavioral finance tries to make sense of financial data using models that are based on psychologically accurate assumptions about people's beliefs, preferences, and cognitive limits. I review behavioral finance approaches to understanding asset prices and trading volume, with particular...

We present an extrapolative model of bubbles. In the model, many investors form their demand for a risky asset by weighing two signals--an average of the asset's past price changes and the asset's degree of overvaluation. The two signals are in conflict, and investors "waver" over time in the...

Behavioral finance tries to make sense of financial data using models that are based on psychologically accurate assumptions about people's beliefs, preferences, and cognitive limits. I review behavioral finance approaches to understanding asset prices and trading volume, with particular...

Behavioral finance tries to make sense of financial data using models that are based on psychologically accurate assumptions about people's beliefs, preferences, and cognitive limits. I review behavioral finance approaches to understanding asset prices and trading volume, with particular...