The paper discusses the effectiveness of independent fiscal institutions -- or fiscal councils -- in taming the deficit bias that emerged in the 1970s. After a review of the main theoretical arguments and recent trends about fiscal councils, we develop a stylized model showing how a fiscal...

Despite growing interest among policymakers, there is no theory of independent fiscal institutions. The emerging literature on ""fiscal councils"" typically makes informal parallels with the theory of central bank independence, but a very simple formal example shows that such a shortcut is...

This paper discusses the role of fiscal institutions, including budget rules and non-partisan agencies, in enhancing fiscal discipline. A stylized model of fiscal policy illustrates that optimal institutions lack credibility unless the costs to bypass them are sufficiently high. To the extent...