This paper analyses the causes and consequences of fiscal consolidation promise gaps, defined as the distance between planned fiscal adjustments and actual consolidations. Using 74 consolidation episodes derived from the narrative approach in 17 advanced economies during 1978-2015, the paper...

This paper characterizes monetary and exchange-rate policies during successful and unsuccessful fiscal adjustments by analyzing the OECD economies over the period 1970 to 1998. We find that successful adjustments are almost always preceded by large nominal and real exchange rate depreciations...

In this paper we use the widely held assumption that left-wing cabinets favor a larger size of government to answer the question: does the pair cabinet ideology-fiscal action affect the persistence of major fiscal adjustments? For a panel of OECD countries from 1960 to 1995, we find that left...

This paper investigates whether monetary and exchange rate policies are important for the success of major fiscal adjustments. We assess their role controlling for other determinants of success identified in the literature, including the size and composition of the deficit cut, the level of...