Two federal judges now tell us that the federal health law's individual mandate is unconstitutional. Three others disagree, and soon we will start to hear from appellate courts. But what if we put the legal arguments aside for the moment and focus on the real question: what happens to health...

We use established methods and recent data to estimate the effects of changes in premium taxes and Medicaid eligibility on the likelihood of being covered by public or private insurance. We find Medicaid expansion for working adults will crowd-out private insurance at a high rate and that...

Prices set by fee-for-service Medicare have a direct effect on prices paid by private insurers throughout the health care system. While this link is widely recognized, there is disagreement about whether higher Medicare prices lead to lower or higher prices for private health insurance. We...

This study investigates how changes in the economic incentives created by the Affordable Care Act (ACA) will affect the probability that private‐sector U.S. employers will offer health insurance. Using the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey Insurance Component for 2008‐2010, we predict...