Showing 1 - 10 of 2,441
rational expectations. A regression analysis formulates a straightforward test of rational expectations, which rejects, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218602
rational expectations. A regression analysis formulates a straightforward test of rational expectations, which rejects, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325050
Weizsäcker (2010) estimates the payoff of actions to test rational expectations and to measure the success of social … qualities which may lead the formulated test of rational expectations to generate false positives. We rely on the true values of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009500719
We designed four observational learning experiments to identify the key channels that, along with Bayes-rational inferences, drive herd behavior. In Experiment 1, unobserved, whose actions remain private, learn from the public actions made in turn by subjects endowed with private signals of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924978
This paper examines the occurrence and fragility of information cascades in laboratory experiments. One group of low informed subjects make predictions in sequence. In a matched pairs design, another set of high informed subjects observe the decisions of the first group and make predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803102
We designed four observational learning experiments to identify the key channels that, along with Bayes-rational inferences, drive herd behavior. In Experiment 1, unobserved, whose actions remain private, learn from the public actions made in turn by subjects endowed with private signals of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789104
Most real world situations that are susceptible to herding are also characterized by direct payoff externalities. Yet, the bulk of the theoretical and experimental literature on herding has focused on pure informational externalities. In this paper we experi- mentally investigate the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003380747
In an information cascade experiment participants are confronted with artificial predecessors predicting in line with the BHW model (Bikchandani et al., 1992). Using the BDM (Becker et al., 1964) mechanism we study participants' probability perceptions based on maximum prices for participating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343945
The standard assumption in social learning environments is that agents learn from others through choice outcomes. We argue that in many settings, agents can also infer information from others' response times (RT), which can increase efficiency. To investigate this, we conduct a standard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903056
designed to test the theory of informational cascades in financial markets (Avery and Zemsky, AER, 1998). More than 6400 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010361992