Chortareas, Georgios; Jitmaneeroj, Boonlert; Wood, Andrew - In: Journal of International Financial Markets, … 22 (2012) 1, pp. 209-231
We find evidence of heterogeneity and irrationality among professional forecasts for three-month inter-bank rates and ten-year gilt yields at both short and long forecast horizons over the period 1989–2006. The majority of biased forecasts overestimate the future spot rate, consistent with...