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The study applies a BEKK GARCH-M model to examine the effect of uncertainty on the levels of inflation and output … growth in Nigeria. The results suggest a significant positive effect of inflation uncertainty on the level of inflation …, supporting the Cukierman and Meltzer (1986) hypothesis. In addition, uncertainty about inflation is found to be detrimental to …
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How do short and long term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962-2018. The state-of-the-art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma, and Ng (2019) is found...
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inflation differ over time. We show that the impact varies considerably over time, depends on the source of increased liquidity … (M1, M3-M1 or credit) and the underlying state of the economy (asset price boom-bust, business cycle, inflation cycle …
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This paper analyses the distribution of long-term inflation expectations in the euro area using individual density …
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