As the fallout from subprime losses clearly demonstrates, the credit risk in residential mortgages is large and economically significant. To manage this risk, this paper proposes the creation of derivative instruments based on the credit losses of a reference mortgage pool. We argue that these...

This paper proposes two measures of credit risk for the population of outstanding mortgages. The first uses an average ex ante default probability to characterize risk, the second uses the unexpected loss generated by the asymptotic single factor risk (ASFR) model, a probabilistic model of...

This paper evaluates the effect of payment reduction on mortgage default within the context of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). We find that mortgage default is sensitive to payment reduction using univariate, duration, and hazard modeling approaches. A relative risk Cox model of...

This paper examines the impact of refinancing on mortgage defaults based on an empirical investigation of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). We study a unique dataset from Freddie Mac which includes loans funded right before and after the HARP eligibility cutoff date, an exogenous...

This paper evaluates the effect of payment reduction on mortgage default within the context of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). We find that mortgage default is sensitive to payment reduction across univariate, duration, and hazard modeling approaches. A relative risk Cox model of...

This paper examines the impact of refinancing on mortgage defaults based on an empirical investigation of the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). We study a unique dataset from Freddie Mac which includes loans funded right before and after the HARP eligibility cutoff date, an exogenous...