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Tests for relative predictive accuracy have become a widespread addendum to forecast comparisons. Many empirical research reports conclude that the difference between the entertained forecasting models is 'insignificant'. This paper collects arguments that cast doubt on the usefulness of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005247727
We develop powerful new size-correction procedures for nonstandard hypothesis testing environments in which the asymptotic distribution of a test statistic is discontinuous in a parameter under the null hypothesis. Examples of this form of testing problem are pervasive in econometrics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420286
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897687
In this article, various issues related to the implementation of the usual Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) are critically examined in the context of modelling a finite population. A suitable design-based approximation to the BIC is proposed in order to avoid the derivation of the exact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903742
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008497340
We develop powerful new size-correction procedures for nonstandard hypothesis testing environments in which the asymptotic distribution of a test statistic is discontinuous in a parameter under the null hypothesis. Examples of this form of testing problem are pervasive in econometrics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196591