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How far do China’s property prices need to drop in order to send the country into a recession? What does this question tell us about the way Bubble Economies work? In this paper, we develop a theory of Bubble Economics - non-linear and often "systemic" (in the mathematical sense of the word)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489181
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011886255
In January 2013, entities of all the forms of ownership built 45,800 new apartments with the total floor space of 3.58m sq. meters or 114.7% as compared to January 2012. In January, individual developers commissioned 1,585m sq. meters of housing which is 6.2% more than in January 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158456
In January-February 2015, 155,900 apartments were commissioned and their total floorspace of 12.3m sq. meters exceeded by 40.6% the result of January-February 2014. According to the data of the Rosreestr, in 2014 the volume of registered titles to land plots (6735253 registration certificates),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023159
In January-October 2014, entities of all the forms of ownership built 729,400 apartments with the total floorspace of 56.1m sq. m. which is equal to 123.7% on the respective period of 2013. Despite the macroeconomic situation, in 2014 in the country the ratio between the price of housing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028751
As for 1 August 2016, since the turn of the year 521,600 apartments were built totaling to 37.2 mn sq. m, which constitutes 92.6% of the floor area commissioned during the same period of 2015. Decline in the volumes of commissioned housing in 2016 was owing, first of all, to a reduction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982665
In Q1 2016, 224,000 flats were built totaling to 15.6 mn sq. m, which constitutes 84% of the floor space commissioned in Q1 2015. In Q1 2016, the volume of land mortgage loans extended to individuals exceeded by 52.8% the volume of land mortgage loans extended to individuals in Q1 2015 and its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988021
This chapter surveys the literature on the microstructure of housing markets. It considers one-sided search, random matching, and directed search models. It also examines the bargaining that takes place once a match has occurred, with the bargaining taking various forms, including two-party...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025302
We use a model and show how inflation and mortgage loans based on nominal interest rates (NRMs), like FRMs, ARMs or IOs, are a source of instability for housing markets. NRMs allocate risk inappropriately and cause economic tensions due to the tilt effect (Lessard and Modigliani, 1975), the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120366
In January-October 2012, entities of all the forms of ownership built 476,500 apartments with the total floorspace of 40.1m sq. meters which amounts to 103.8% on the respective period of 2011. The ratio between the price of housing and households' income in 2012 points to the fact that housing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083453