We develop a simple model of a speculative housing market in which the demand for houses is influenced by expectations about future housing prices. Guided by empirical evidence, agents rely on extrapolative and regressive forecasting rules to form their expectations. The relative importance of...

We give general conditions for the data generating process to facilitate the testing of structural dependence of turnover on the average (or median) price in the homogenous housing market. Furthermore, the implications of aggregation over sub-markets is studied. A plausible explanation of the...

In spite of a growing recognition of the importance of supply conditions for the level and volatility of house prices, empirical work on housing supply outside the US is scarce. This paper considers various measures of housing supply in the Netherlands, where real house prices have roughly...

Even though economic models have been relatively successful in explaining the long run patterns of house prices, they have more difficulties in explaining short run developments of the housing markets. However, the fact that during such ‘bubbles’ the spatial pattern of house prices, which...

In housing markets with asymmetric information list prices may signal unobserved properties of the house or the seller. Asymmetric information is the starting point of many models for the housing market. In this paper, we estimate the causal effect of list-price reductions to test for the...

Verfolgt man die aktuelle Diskussion, kann man den Eindruck gewinnen, dass Wohnraum unbezahlbar geworden sei. Doch ist dieser Anschein gerechtfertigt? Wird Wohnen tatsachlich insgesamt teurer oder entspricht der Anstieg der allgemeinen Lohn- und Preisentwicklung? Steigen die Preise in der Breite...

Wie überall in Deutschland zieht es auch in Sachsen die Bevölkerung in die Städte. Entsprechend steigen die Kaufpreise für Wohnimmobilien – auch im näheren Umland zu den Großstädten. Allerdings ist die Wohnkostenbelastung in Sachsen im Vergleich zu anderen Regionen Deutschlands immer...

Is there a local economic impact of immigration? Immigration pushes up rents and housing values in US destination cities. The positive association of rent growth and immigrant inflows is pervasive in time series for all metropolitan areas. I use instrumental variables based on a shift-share of...

This paper analyzes the long-run convergence of regional house prices in a major developing country, Turkey. Using a non-linear time-varying factor model and quarterly hedonic house price data from 2010 to 2018, we find that house prices do not converge across 26 regions of Turkey. Results...

Persistent, structural housing affordability challenges in Ireland have been well documented for particular groups (private renters, low to middle income households and those in urban areas (Corrigan et al., 2019)). Recent research has also documented the access to credit constraints faced by...