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prices related (news) and not related (noise) to future fundamentals. I provide empirical evidence of the sizable … macroeconomic effects of news and noise shocks. Following Forni et al. (2014, 2016), I identify news and noise shocks through a non … frequencies, but in the short-medium horizon noise shocks explain a large share of the variability in housing prices, residential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986653
We study the general equilibrium of the housing market in an economy populated by overlapping generations of households. A contribution of the present paper is to solve for the housing market equilibrium in the presence of aggregate (interest rate) uncertainty with a realistic mortgage contract....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049379
We develop a two-sector search-matching model of the labor market with imperfect mobility of workers, augmented to incorporate a housing market and a frictional goods market. Homeowners use home equity as collateral to finance idiosyncratic consumption opportunities. A financial innovation that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064308
I) House prices rose strongly in advanced economies during the pandemic, breaking with typical post-recession patterns. These developments support domestic demand in the short term but carry risks to the outlook if they reverse. II) Rapid economic recovery, fiscal support and high saving rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013297596
We decompose aggregate consumption by modelling both savers and their links to collateral constrained borrowers through a bank which prices credit risk. Savers own both firms and the commercial bank while borrowers require loans from the commercial bank to effect their consumption plans. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009787418
Between 1996 and 2006 the U.S. has experienced an unprecedented boom in house prices. As it has proven to be difficult to explain the large price increase by observable fundamentals, many observers have emphasized the role of speculation, i.e. expectations about future price developments. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015600
We build a model of the U.S. economy with multiple aggregate shocks (income, housing finance conditions, and beliefs about future housing demand) that generate fluctuations in equilibrium house prices. Through a series of counterfactual experiments, we study the housing boom and bust around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946860
Seit dem Einbruch der Aktienmärkte Anfang 2000 hat die Fed durch massive Liquiditätszufuhr versucht, die amerikanische Wirtschaft zu stabilisieren. Ein wesentliches Motiv war die Befürchtung, die amerikanische Wirtschaft könne in eine Liquiditätsfalle geraten. Motiviert von der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011692142
This paper presents a comparative analysis of the determinants, sustenance and broader macroeconomic consequences of the ultimately unsustainable housing boom in Ireland and the UK in recent years. It examines, in particular, the role played by ostensibly depoliticised monetary policy in both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014205248
Seit dem Einbruch der Aktienmärkte Anfang 2000 hat die Fed durch massive Liquiditätszufuhr versucht, die amerikanische Wirtschaft zu stabilisieren. Ein wesentliches Motiv war die Befürchtung, die amerikanische Wirtschaft könne in eine Liquiditätsfalle geraten. Motiviert von der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047003