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We investigate an unexplored link between the US mortgage spread and business cycle and house price fluctuations in emerging market economies (EMEs). An increase in the US mortgage spread leads to substantially lower output, investment, consumption, house and stock prices, and to an improvement...
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Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This … paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of …
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