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This paper presents a framework for estimating losses in the residential real estate mortgage portfolios of German banks. We develop an EL model where LGD estimates are based on current collateral values and PD dynamics are estimated using a structural PVAR approach. We confirm empirically that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012997
There are many similarities between the US, the UK and the Chinese housing markets, including the movements of interest rates and house prices. Some Chinese banks, especially the Bank of China, have been exposed to the US mortgage securitization market. These have triggered a serious concern as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157129
The most frequent mortgage loans in the US behave according to nominal interest rates with level loan payments (NRMs), like Fixed Rate Mortgages (FRMs) or Adjustable Rate Mortgages (ARMs). We use a model to show that the tilt effect, an increase of real payments in the early years of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131594
The Great Recession resulted in bank failures that exceeded the savings and loan (S&L) crisis in terms of percentage of institutions and the volume of assets of banks that failed. While much of the literature focuses “subprime” mortgages and its role in this financial crisis, we focus on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953169
We develop new measures to detect income falsification on mortgage applications during the housing bubble. We find that regulators failed to prevent income falsification. Additionally, regulatory requirements imposed on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the “GSEs”) to promote lending in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035087
Mortgage banking began to develop in Slovakia after 1998 as an ambitious project, the goal of which was to elevate the lagging development of the real estate market, the development of the financial market and the creation of banks' long-term resources. Our goal is a comprehensive assessment of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012291915
This paper investigates the determinants of credit risk from a broad perspective. Particular attention is given to the role of housing affordability and household indebtedness. However, the impact of credit market developments and regulations is also closely examined. Using a large panel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011883262
I examine the impact of non-regulated lenders in the mortgage market using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. My model features two types of financial intermediaries that differ in three ways: (i) only regulated intermediaries face a capital requirement, (ii) non-regulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777922
We empirically document that banks with greater exposure to high home price-to-income ratio regions in 2005 and 2006 have higher mortgage delinquency and charge-off rates and significantly higher probabilities of failure during the last financial crisis even after controlling for capital,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803674
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012416819