The COVID-19 pandemic has upended the U.S. economy and labor market. We assess the initial spike in unemployment due to … the virus response and possible paths for the official unemployment rate through 2021. Substantial uncertainty surrounds … the path for measured unemployment, depending on the path of the virus and containment measures and their impact on …

the 2018-2021 period. The analysis focuses on the divergences in out-of-unemployment transitions and medium … detachment, prolonged periods of unemployment or a diminished success rate in reemployment. However, certain socio …

unemployment rate - into a short-term and a long-term component. While short-term unemployment might not result in additional … workers on a large scale, long-term unemployment reduces household income more, increasing the need for additional income. On … are available, distinguishing between short-term and long-term unemployment reveals discouragement effects. …

stock and flow data to understand key developments. We find dramatic changes in employment, unemployment and labour market …

We show that the opioid crisis slows transitions to employment from unemployment and non-participation, implying slower …