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The current fiscal imbalances and fragilities in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries (SEMC) are the result of decades of instability, but have become more visible since 2008, when a combination of adverse economic and political shocks (the global and European financial crises, Arab...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337694
To analyse the most important aspects of the Secular Stagnation hypothesis, this paper considers the effects of hysteresis in potential output in a New-Keynesian model that is extended with endogenous potential output. To do so, a number of simulations of relevant scenarios is undertaken. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444072
In this study, we explore how fiscal policy in euro area periphery countries responds to monetary policy surprises that lower sovereign bond yields. In particular, we assess whether the disciplining effect of financial markets on public finances is undermined by the ability of monetary policy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549740
Twenty years of euro history confirms the euro's stability and position as the second global currency. It also enjoys the support of majority of the euro area population and is seen as a good thing for the European Union. The European Central Bank has been successful in keeping inflation at a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029380
The study examines the impact of fiscal and monetary policy on economic performance and stabilisation in Nigeria … proxy economic performance and economic stabilisation respectively while fiscal policy is captured with deficit finance and … confirms that monetary policy significantly drives economic stabilisation in Nigeria and the Gambia, but insignificantly in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137607
We explore the dynamics of inflation, inflation expectations, and seigniorage-financed fiscal deficits in Mexico. To do so, we estimate the model in Sargent, Williams, and Zha (2009) using Mexican CPI inflation data. This model features dual expected inflation equilibriums and regime switching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165948
stabilisation tool. At the same time, there is ample evidence that major economic downturns produce lasting effects on real GDP in … fiscal expansion, and (ii) find the right time to pivot from short-term stabilisation to fiscal consolidation while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013448651
With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction function where the primary balance relative to GDP is assumed to be a function of the public debt to GDP ratio of the previous year and of other macroeconomic variables. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335018
The central objective of this paper is to empirically examine the issue of fiscal sustainability in developing Asia. To do so, we first diagnose the region's public finances by analyzing the evolution of key fiscal indicators over time and across subregions. We then estimate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003984753
Unlike the crisis years of 2007-2009 (when the insolvency of large banks was a major problem), the current round of the global financial crisis has fiscal origins. Almost all developed countries suffer from an excessive public debt burden that has been built up over the last two decades or more....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009572988