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-horizon returns and the negligible impacts of estimation errors on the expected returns. This study uses the innovative simulation … return distribution has the slowest rate of convergence to normality among groups of assets. Estimation errors of the … imprecisions persist over the investment horizons, the estimation errors of the monthly return have a strong effect on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014503297
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situations it is better to renounce parameter estimation altogether and pursue some trivial strategy such as the totally risk … ; Naive diversification ; Out-ofsample performance ; Risk function ; Shrinkage estimation …In the present work I derive the risk functions of 5 standard estimators for expected asset returns which are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939385
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050012
overall equity market returns and volatility. The risk associated with investment decisions is measured by the exponential … regime-switching regression model on the two market risk factors, we develop an entropy-based dynamic portfolio selection … is employed for the estimation of the hidden Markov model including the asset return parameters, while the out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375264
An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk.Depending on both the … orhistorical and Monte Carlo simulation methods. Although these approaches to overall VaR estimation have receivedsubstantial … proposed estimation approach pairs intuitiveappeal with computational efficiency. We evaluate various alternative estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324653
an improper use of a block bootstrap method usually causes underestimation of the risk of a portfolio whose returns are … "time diversification". In this case, in order to choose the optimal portfolio, it is necessary to estimate the risk and …. To overcome these obstacles researchers rely heavily on block bootstrap methods. In this paper we demonstrate that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114943
Banks must manage their trading books, not just value them. Pricing includes valuation adjustments collectively known as XVA (at least credit, funding, capital and tax), so management must also include XVA. In trading book management we focus on pricing, hedging, and allocation of prices or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040052
Risk driver contributions are key to understanding portfolio risk. Often, this is done by decomposing portfolio … ‘volatility’. This is problematic in the presence of non-elliptical distributions. Some asset managers propose switching to value-at-risk … (VaR) or expected shortfall (ES) as risk measures. Often the latter is preferred as it deals better with risk in sub …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349483
This paper investigates the link between economic state and investment levels in an economy within the premise of a partial equilibrium econometric setup based on the central philosophies of production-based asset pricing model and economic tracking portfolio models. By employing a simple linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134628