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How should monetary policy be designed when the central bank has private information about future economic conditions? When private news about shocks to future fundamentals is added to an otherwise standard new Keynesian model, social welfare deteriorates by the central bank's reaction to or...
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consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead … inflation expectations and spending today. We find households' inflation expectations and readiness to spend react substantially …
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Survey of Professional Forecasters as a measure of price setters' inflation expectations. This model improves upon existing … perfect information models in explaining why, in the data, inflation expectations respond with delays to monetary impulses and …, explaining why inflation and inflation expectations were so persistently heightened. The signaling effects of monetary policy …
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(like professional forecasters) have responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by lowering their one-year-ahead inflation … expectations. These responses stand in stark contrast to that of household inflation expectations (as measured by the University of … Michigan or the New York Fed). Indeed, firms' one-year-ahead inflation expectations fell precipitously (to a series low …
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