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It is well known that a tightening or easing of the United States' monetary policy affects financial markets in emerging economies. This paper argues that uncertainty about future monetary policy is a separate transmission channel. We focus on the taper tantrum episode in 2013, a period with an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546623
Using a GARCH model, we study the effects of Canadian and U.S. central bank communication and macroeconomic news on Canadian bond, stock, and foreign exchange market returns and volatility. First, news in both categories and from both countries has an impact on all financial markets. Canadian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003849833
This article investigates the empirical relationship between monetary policy in the United States (US) and international equity, bond and real estate security markets for the sample period 01/1994 to 12/2007. The empirical results suggest that equity markets close to the US have a statistically...
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This paper investigates the spillover effects of U.S. monetary policy on exchange rates of 10 advanced economies and 21 emerging markets during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The investigation is achieved by a structural vector autoregression model, where daily data on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833773
We develop a factor-augmented vector autoregression model to estimate the effects of changes in U.S. monetary policy and economic policy uncertainty have on the Chinese housing, equity and loan markets. We find that the decline in the U.S. policy rate since the Great Recession has led to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937693
In a frictionless market, the CDS-bond basis, defined as CDS spread minus bond spread should be zero. I show that the emerging market CDS-bond basis systematically declines when US interest rates fall. The basis deviations are temporary and occur in both pre and post the financial crisis of...
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