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This paper examines the effects of economic policy uncertainty shocks on stock-bond correlations for the US market. We devise a general framework which distinguishes a positive shock from a negative one and nests either as its special case. The results show that innovations in the policy...
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US stock-bond correlation, which plays an important role in institutional portfolio construction, has been persistently … negative for the last 20y. This negative correlation allows stocks and bonds to serve as a hedge for each other, enabling CIOs … to increase stock allocations while still satisfying a portfolio risk budget. However, stock-bond correlation is not …
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This paper argues that incorporating information about the financial cycle is important to improve measures of potential output and output gaps. Conceptually, identifying potential output with non-inflationary output is too restrictive. Potential output is seen as sustainable; yet experience...
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