story-telling and policy analysis were in the forefront of applications since its inception, the forecasting perspective of … models are inferior in ex-ante forecasting a crisis. Surprisingly however, it turned out that not all but those models which … only detect the turning point of the Austrian business cycle early in 2008 but they also succeeded in forecasting the …

chapter investigates the use of economic forecasting in policy making by discussing practical examples, providing new … institutional details of the forecasting process at fiscal authorities and central banks. We provide empirical evidence that central … producing forecasts. We review forecasting models and provide practical applications. In particular, we illustrate how to use …

work with a more precise and objective performance measure by defining sector-specific indicators of improved water supply … ratings and indicators of improved water supply are positively but weakly correlated. Project management variables have a … target group. Various independent variables even change sign if indicators of improved water supply instead of evaluation …