In diesem Papier wird an Hand eines Vektorfehlerkorrekturmodells (VECM) für den französischen Arbeitsmarkt untersucht, wie sich die dort Anfang 2000 eingeführte Verkürzung der Regelarbeitszeit in Verbindung mit Subventionen der Sozialversicherungsbeiträge ausgewirkt hat. Theoretisch sind...

The paper attempted to analyzes linkages between fiscal policies (public expenditure and public debt) and economic growth by investigating the impact of public expenditure and public debt on economic growth (GSDP). To find out empirically the relationship between GSDP and Public Debt, the study...

The global financial crisis and the ensuing criticism of macroeconomics have inspired researchers to explore new modeling approaches. There are many new models that deliver improved estimates of the transmission of macroeconomic policies and aim to better integrate the financial sector in...

This study assesses macroeconomic and sectoral impacts of demographic changes in the Czech Republic, as a result of population ageing and international migration. To do so, it develops a unique dynamic Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) model with detailed...

The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the economic impact mechanism of the secession of Great Britain from the European Union (Brexit) on the Hungarian economy, and to quantify the domestic growth risks. Several international studies have dealt with this topic using partial analysis and...

We show that financial variables contribute to the forecast of GDP growth during the Great Recession, providing additional insights on both first and higher moments of the GDP growth distribution. If a recession is due to an unforeseen shock (such as the Covid-19 recession), financial variables...

Inspired by the GARCH-MIDAS model, we revisit the relationship between Chinese futures and macroeconomic factors. We introduce the level of the macroeconomic variables into the GARCH-MIDAS model in order to test the impact of the macroeconomic level on the variance of futures’ return...

The purpose of this study was to determine the effects of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), trade, aid, remittances and tourism on welfare under terrorism and militancy. Using Nigeria as a case study for the period from 1980 to 2016, this study utilized autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL)...

The main goal of our paper was to apply our research methodology on the specific case of the Ukrainian migration and remittances in the Czech Republic. In contrast to previous studies, we provide a more detailed insight into the specifications of remittance behaviour and test assumptions in the...

The paper provides probability estimates of the state of the GDP growth. A regime-switching model defines the probability of the Greek GDP being in boom or recession. Then probit models extract the predictive information of a set of explanatory (economic and financial) variables regarding the...