Causal relationships in econometrics are typically based on the concept of predictability and are established in terms of tests for Granger causality. These causal relationships are susceptible to change, especially during times of financial turbulence, making the real-time detection of...

Since the global financial crisis, major central banks gradually switched to unconventional monetary policies (UMPs) as part of their efforts to directly influence the long-term interest rates. This study analyzes the impact of conventional/unconventional monetary policies on sovereign bond...

The period of the global financial crisis can be characterized by the spillover of negative innovations among stock markets worldwide. Stock markets in Central Europe were not excluded as they are not isolated from global stock markets. Recently published scientific studies dealing with this...

This research addresses important empirical questions regarding the relationship between natural gas exports and Egyptian economic growth by extending the Dirtsakis's model (Dritsakis, 2004, p. 1834) with the addition of the labor force into the model and further by addressing the issue in a...

This paper investigates the relationship between macroeconomic variables and Bahraini stock market development by using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model. The development of a financial market is closely related to the overall development in the national economy. Well functioning...

In this study, we employ the novel measure of a VAR-based spillover index, developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) to investigate the time-varying relationship between tourism and economic growth in selected European countries. Overall, the findings suggest that (i) the tourism-economy...

This paper investigates the short run as well the long run relationships between money supply, inflation, government expenditure and economic growth by employing the Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) and Johansen co-integration test respectively for the case of Cyprus using annual data from 1980...

Abstract. During the last decade Greece has faced many economic problems. The economy is teetering on the brink of bankruptcy and the debt deepens. In this paper we will examine whether the debt is promoting economic growth in Greece. We use time series data from 1980 to 2010. The data is fitted...

This paper investigated the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy shocks in Ethiopiausing a Bayesian Vector Auto Regression model. We examined the dynamic responsesof output, inflation, interest rate and exchange rate to fiscal policy shocks employingquarterly data from 2000/01Q1 to 2015/16Q4....