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Traditional literature on energy economics gives a central role to exogenous political events (supply shocks) or to global economic growth (aggregate demand shock) in modeling the oil market. However, more recent literature claims that the increased precautionary demand for oil triggered by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098905
We use scenario analysis to assess the macroeconomic effects of carbon transition policies aimed at mitigating climate change. To this end, we employ a version of the ECB’s New Area-Wide Model (NAWM) augmented with a framework of disaggregated energy production and use, which distinguishes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014354636
The objective of this paper is to see the effects of change of fuel price on inflation and exchange rate in India using data from 2017 to 2019 i.e. the period in which the fuel oil price was expected to move up and down with the international price of the crude on a daily basis. Unit root test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013233550
This paper develops a 9-dimensional SVAR to investigate the sources of the U.S. business cycle. We extend the standard set of identified shocks to include unexpected changes in commodity prices. Our main result is that commodity price shocks are a very important driving force of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009008065
In April 2013, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) introduced an inflation target of 2% with the aim of overcoming deflation and achieving sustainable economic growth. But due to lower international oil prices it was unable to achieve this target and was forced to take further measures. Hence, in February...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557942
This paper studies the macroeconomic effects of energy price shocks in energy-importing economies using a heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model. When MPCs are realistically large and the elasticity of substitution between energy and domestic goods is realistically low, increases in energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014337777
In this paper we examine the effect of ECB's unconventional monetary policy measures on energy prices. Our results indicate that the non-standard ECB monetary policies during the recent financial crises had a significant and negative impact on energy prices. For example, we find that these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900709
The aim of this article is to investigate the consequences of oil price changes for the economy of the US and the euro area. Oil price transmission channel is assessed using Granger causalities and structural vector autoregressive (VAR) specifications (applying the Cholesky factorization and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651358
This paper studies the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and discusses the potential implications for what constitutes the core of most central banks' mandate: price stability. Carbon policy shocks are identified from high-frequency changes in carbon futures price around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250967
This paper examines the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and its implications for central banks' price stability mandate. Carbon policy shocks are identified using high-frequency identification and combined with French firm-level survey data. A change in carbon price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312549