The paper estimates the effect of oil price fluctuations on GDP growth, using linear and nonlinear VAR models with data from 12 countries. It reports strong significance for the existence of non-linear moderator effects caused by a decline in the oil-to-energy share, which weakens the causal...

We propose a simple-to-implement dynamic panel data method to evaluate the impacts of place-based policies. The idea is to exploit both the cross sectional dependence and the serial correlation within a panel and implement a semi difference-in-difference decomposition. Different from the method...