policy analysis, spillover analysis, and forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a …

forecasting applications of the estimated model are demonstrated, based on a Bayesian framework for conditioning on judgment …

story-telling and policy analysis were in the forefront of applications since its inception, the forecasting perspective of … models are inferior in ex-ante forecasting a crisis. Surprisingly however, it turned out that not all but those models which … only detect the turning point of the Austrian business cycle early in 2008 but they also succeeded in forecasting the …

of Macedonia (NBRM) for medium term macroeconomic forecasting and policy analysis. The MAKPAM is a medium scale, New … important block of the macroeconomic forecasting system of the NBRM. The model is therefore an important analytic tool for …

In this paper we extract latent factors from a large cross-section of commodity prices, including fuel and non …

conjunction with the macroeconomic forecasting method to investigate how profit levels in the Turkish manufacturing industry are …