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In this paper we study the determinants of gross capital flows, project the size of China's international investment positions in 2020 and analyse the implications for the renminbi real exchange rates. We assume in this exercise that the renminbi will have largely achieved capital account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107558
We examine the predictive power of real time linear monetary models with possible nonlinear adjustment in forecast errors for the GBP/USD exchange rates. Real time revisions of UK and US monetary aggregates and output are significant; therefore the use of final data on fundamentals in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982733
This study analyzes the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on exchange rates based on a comprehensive set of survey forecasts for more than 50 currency pairs. At the first stage, we assess whether the policy to manage the COVID-19 pandemic affects the expected path of exchange rates over the medium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818059
This paper tackles the issue of cross-section dependence for the monetary exchange rate model in the presence of unobserved common factors using panel data from 1973 until 2007 for 19 OECD countries. Applying a principal component analysis we distinguish between common factors and idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009426693
This paper tackles the issue of cross-section dependence for the monetary exchange rate model in the presence of unobserved common factors using panel data from 1973 until 2007 for 19 OECD countries. Applying a principal component analysis we distinguish between common factors and idiosyncratic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010209430
In this article we study the impact of real effective exchange rate misalignments, based on determinants, including different types of foreign capital inflows, on GDP growth in the EU. This can provide a useful contribution to understanding the causal link between inflows, real effective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991781
In this article we study the impact of real effective exchange rate misalignments, based on determinants, including different types of foreign capital inflows, on GDP growth in the EU. This can provide a useful contribution to understanding the causal link between inflows, real effective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992272
In this article we study the impact of real effective exchange rate misalignments, based on determinants, including different types of foreign capital inflows, on GDP growth in the EU. This can provide a useful contribution to understanding the causal link between inflows, real effective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992878
This paper is prepared with an intention to examine the impact of major macroeconomic variables which includes real interest rate, inflation rate, unemployment rate, GDP per capita, foreign direct investment inflows, export and import over the exchange rate of the countries who are the member of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855317
This paper provides a discussion of methodological issues relating to the estimation of the long-run relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals for Central and Eastern European acceding countries, focusing on the so-called behavioural equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) approach. Given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319341