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Between January 2017 and March 2020 a coalition of oil producers led by OPEC and Russia (known as OPEC+) cut oil production in an attempt to raise the price of crude oil. In March 2020 the corona virus shock led to a collapse of this coalition, as members did not agree on keeping the oil market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823322
This paper shows that oil shocks primarily impact economic growth through the conditional variance of growth. Our comparison of models focuses on density forecasts. Over a range of dynamic models, oil shock measures and data we fi nd a robust link between oil shocks and the volatility of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014114772
country's oil-importing and -exporting status in the world oil market affects the transmission of shocks. Finally, subsample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285458
The purpose of this study is to investigate the impacts of crude oil price variations on the Turkish stock market returns. We have employed vector autoregression (VAR) model using daily observations of Brent crude oil prices and Istanbul Stock Exchange National Index (ISE-100) returns for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743922
demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621702
In this paper we assess the impact of oil price shocks on oil-producer and oil-consumer economies. VAR models for different countries are linked together via a trade matrix, as in Abeysinghe (2001). As expected, we find that oil producers (Russia and Canada here) benefit from oil price shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722559
This paper develops a two-block Structural Vector Autoregression featuring time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to estimate the changing spillover of global oil shocks into the Maltese economy during the period that goes from January 2008 to March 2022. The model is estimated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380679
The European Council has proposed to stick to a more ambitious GHG target but to scrap a binding RES target for the post-2020 period. This is in line with many existing assessments which demonstrate that additional RES policies impair the cost-effectiveness of addressing a single CO2...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426004
country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large … set of professional forecasts of financial and macroeconomic variables. More communication even increases forecast errors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790688
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181862