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Structural VAR and Structural VEC models were estimated for Chile and Colombia, aiming at identifying fiscal policy shocks in both countries between 1990 and 2005. The impulse responses obtained allow the calculation of a peso-for-peso ($/$) effect on output of a shock to public spending and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110678
causality and cointegration techniques to a Swedish time series data set on energy and economic growth spanning 150 years to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063467
A growing literature relies on natural experiments to establish causal effects in macroeconomics. In diverse applications, natural experiments have been used to verify underlying assumptions of conventional models, quantify specific model parameters, and identify mechanisms that have major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025707
-series techniques were used which include Cointegration, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Impulse Response Functions (IRF) and … Variance Decompositions (VDC). Cointegration analysis, along with the VECM, suggests that interest rates, crude oil prices and … Prices ; Macroeconomic Factors ; Dhaka Stock Exchange ; Cointegration ; VEC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009737188
expenditure and economic growth by employing the Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) and Johansen co-integration test respectively … increases real output level. -- economic development ; co-integration ; Granger causality ; deficit financing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009717377
Abstract. During the last decade Greece has faced many economic problems. The economy is teetering on the brink of bankruptcy and the debt deepens. In this paper we will examine whether the debt is promoting economic growth in Greece. We use time series data from 1980 to 2010. The data is fitted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058001
This paper evaluates a novel form of fiscal stimulus: a temporary cut in the rate of Value Added Tax (VAT). In December 2008, the UK cut the standard rate of VAT by 2.5 percentage points for 13 months in an effort to stimulate spending. We estimate the effect of the cut on prices and spending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381367
Using VAR analysis on US data, we show that unanticipated fiscal expansions boost private consumption and business … crowding-in of both consumption and entry can be generated only under very specific assumptions. In a static model with full … such that future profits are high enough to generate entry. However, consumption falls for conventional parameter values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339394
pandemic to analyze the response of consumption spending to unemployment risk. We find that earlier in the pandemic, higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012395140
We empirically assess whether a usually expected negative response of private consumption and private investment to a … HP-based; and iii) the Hamilton (2018)-based. We find that: i) increases in government consumption have a Keynesian … effect on real per capita private consumption; ii) there is a positive effect of tax increases on private consumption when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504460