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Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … volatility effects of the shock are driven by agents' concern about the (in)ability of the monetary authority to reverse … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard …
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We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
shock has remained fairly stable. Simulations from a non-linear DSGE model suggest that these empirical results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
This paper investigates if the impact of uncertainty shocks on the U.K. economy has changed over time. To this end, we propose an extended time-varying VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time-varying impact on key macroeconomic and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505897
prior distribution of structural parameters and shock processes are determined according to the literature. Then, we … consistent with theoretical framework of the new Keynesian synthesis. Besides, the historical shock decompositions of endogenous … monetary policy increases the effects of monetary policy shock on inflation while its impact on output gap and interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239944
Central banks have usually employed short-term rates as the main instrument of monetary policy. In the last decades, however, forward guidance has also become a central tool for monetary policy. In an innovative way this paper combines two sources of extraneous information - high frequency...
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We propose a TVP-VAR with stochastic volatility for the unemployment rate, core inflation and the federal funds rate … particular are robust (a gradual 0.4 percentage point increase), lasting more than two years after the initial shock. Interest … backbone for our empirical results, via an “option value” channel. Theory yields sizeable real effects and a muted monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313628