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nowcasting. The second novelty consists of a methodology to merge an enormous amount of non-encompassing data with a large … nowcasting Gross Domestic Product and draw lessons for dealing with possible future crises. …
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-performing loans, GDP, loan loss provision, and dummy variable COVID-19 were used in the analysis. The results of the analysis showed a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650843
We develop a new methodology to nowcast the effects of the COVID-19 crisis and forecast its evolution in small, export-oriented countries. To this aim, we exploit variation in financial indexes at the industry level and relate them to the expected duration of the crisis for each industry, under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012545677
We investigate an impact of oil-price shocks on GDP and exchange rate dynamics in resource-heterogeneous economies. We …-exporting, and less-resource-intensive economies. On average, real GDP in oil-exporting economies exhibits substantial contraction …, while for metal exporters there is a significant real GDP expansion suggesting an offsetting effect of metal exports on oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369064
This paper seeks to add to the current debate about financial development and growth in the emerging world by looking at how different financial systems evolve: how and why financial structures change during various stages of development, how best to measure them, and seeing what practical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008907303
This paper seeks to add to the current debate about financial development and growth in the emerging world by looking at how different financial systems evolve: how and why financial structures change during various stages of development, how best to measure them, and seeing what practical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132042
This paper illustrates that evaluating alternate abatement polices that affect the growth path of an economy on the basis of their effects on asset valuation may not be welfare enhancing. We show that the class of abatement polices considered in the integrated assessment literature are robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079921
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