states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … estimate the effect of COVID- 19 cases and deaths on the change in county-level voting for Donald Trump between 2016 and 2020 …

counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … estimate the effect of COVID-19 cases and deaths on the change in county-level voting for Donald Trump between 2016 and 2020 …

counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … estimate the effect of COVID- 19 cases and deaths on the change in county-level voting for Donald Trump between 2016 and 2020 …

, Global Crony Capitalism. and the Killing of George Floyd.We argue that the Republican Party trade deals had a … the lockdowns.We argue that modern racism began around 1985, with the political organization of the Business Roundtable …

Political economists interested in discerning the effects of election outcomes on the economy have been hampered by the … problem that economic outcomes also influence elections. We sidestep these problems by analyzing movements in economic … indicators caused by clearly exogenous changes in expectations about the likely winner during election day. Analyzing high …