There is almost a complete consensus in the international literature that BREXIT will have a negative effect on the UK economy both in the short and long-run. The UK is one of Ireland's closest economic partners and little is known about the potential macro-economic impact that BREXIT could have...

During the ongoing financial crisis the analysis of similar historical crises has gained more and more attention among economic researchers and forecasters. Existing studies, however, do not tackle the immense heterogeneity that is present in cross-country samples in a formal and consistent way....

This study evaluates anti-contagion and economic policies by conducting a survey on Japanese small business managers' expectations about the pandemic, policies, and firm performance. First, the business suspension request decreased targeted firms' sales by 10 percentage points on top of the...

Recently introduced measure for Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) seems to have a role to play in forecasting out-of-sample values for the future real economic activity both for the euro area and the UK economies in the monthly data from 1997-2016. Inclusion of EPU measures either for the US, UK...

In this paper, an issue of major policy significance pertaining to assessing the impact of COVID-19 beyond the short-term on India’s macroeconomy has been addressed by developing two restricted vector autoregression (VAR) models. These models enable an assessment of the detrimental impact of...

For about three decades, the Japanese economy suffered a prolonged phase of economic stagnation but may have started, in late 2019, to emerge from this state with the implementation of Abenomics in late 2012 or early 2013. Abenomics consisted of “three arrows”, namely aggressive monetary...

In the fight against global warming, the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is a major objective. In particular, a decrease in electricity generation by coal could contribute to reducing CO2 emissions. We study potential economic consequences of a coal phase-out in Germany, using a...

The objective of this study is to analyse the correlation between initial conditions and cross-country macroeconomic impact of COVID-19 on OECD economies. The study uses group-wise multivariate linear regression modelling to examine the link between macroeconomic variables of interest and the...

This paper explores the case for gradually instituting changes necessary to implement unconstrained negative interest rate policy as a long-term solution to the effective lower bound on policy interest rates. If small depositors can be excluded, then passthrough of negative rates to large and...