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This paper examines the impact of terrorism on economic growth and capital formation using data for 152 countries from 1970 to 2003.During the past thirty-five years, the world has witnessed nearly twenty thousand terrorist incidents. The increasingly global scope of terrorism has raised...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059225
We argue that the present crisis and stalling economy continuing since 2007 have clear origins, namely in the delusionary belief in the merits of policies based on a “perpetual money machine” type of thinking. Indeed, we document strong evidence that, since the early 1980s, consumption has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684129
In light of the rising political and economic uncertainty in Europe, we aim to provide a basic understanding of the impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty on a set of macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662699
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008698563
Recent events such as the financial and sovereign debt crisis have triggered an increase in European Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU). We use a TVP-FAVAR model with hierarchical priors on the hyperparameters to investigate the effect of EPU on a wide range of macroeconomic variables for eleven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700808
We study the time-varying impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) on the US Economy by using a VAR with time-varying coefficients. The coefficients are allowed to evolve gradually over time which allows us to discover structural changes without imposing them a priori. We find three different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888261
In light of the rising political and economic uncertainty in Europe, we aim to provide a basic understanding of the impact of economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty on a set of macroeconomic variables such as production, consumption and investment. In this paper, we apply a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761787
To mitigate the health and economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic, governments worldwide engaged in massive fiscal support programs. We show that generous fiscal support contributed to an increase in the demand for consumption goods during the pandemic, but industrial production did not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014078895
Bleibende ökonomische Auswirkungen der Corona-Pandemie werden an der Entwicklung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Produktionsfaktoren - dem Arbeitseinsatz, Sach- und Humankapital sowie dem Bestand an technischem Wissen - sichtbar werden. Verhaltensänderungen, wie etwa eine höhere Technikakzeptanz,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249964
The COVID-19 pandemic had posed a dramatic impact on labor markets across Europe. Forceful fiscal responses have prevented an otherwise sharper contraction. Many countries introduced or expanded job-retention schemes to preserve jobs and support households. This paper uses a microsimulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254891