Showing 1 - 10 of 8,227
This paper presents an option positioning that allows us to infer forward variances from option portfolios. The forward variances we construct from equity index options help to predict (i) growth in measures of real economic activity, (ii) Treasury bill returns, (iii) stock market returns, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116049
liquidity proxy variable, Chicago Board of Exchange's (CBOE) S&P 500 market volatility index (VIX), into the model. Variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743922
This study investigated how stock market volatility responded dynamically to unexpected changes during the COVID-19 … pandemic and the resulting uncertainty in Thailand. Using a multivariate GARCH-BEKK model, the conditional volatility dynamics …, the interlinkages, and the conditional correlations between stock market volatility and the increasing rate of COVID-19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284290
This paper investigates dynamic correlations of stock-bond returns for different stock indices and bond maturities. Evidence in the US shows that stock-bond relations are time-varying and display a negative trend. The stock-bond correlations are negatively correlated with implied volatilities in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292914
We compared forecasts of stock market volatility based on real-time and revised …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989311
of stock market volatility. Among the various macro variables in our dataset the term spread, housing starts, corporate … profits, and the unemployment rate have the highest predictive ability for long-term stock market volatility. While the term … spread and housing starts are leading variables with respect to stock market volatility, for industrial production and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065352
This study examines the role of daily volatility persistence in transmitting information from macro-economy in the … volatility of energy markets. In crude oil and natural gas markets, macro-economic factors, such as the VIX, the credit spread … and the Baltic exchange dirty index, impact volatility, and this impact is channeled via the volatility persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237771
volatility. Among the various macro variables in our dataset the term spread, housing starts, corporate profits and the … unemployment rate have the highest predictive ability for stock market volatility . While the term spread and housing starts are … leading variables with respect to stock market volatility, for corporate profits and the unemployment rate expectations data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009656267
volatility series are being tested for significant reactions to the Brexit event. The results indicate mixed results regarding … the abnormal cumulative return series, but the volatility series were found to be significantly affected by the mentioned …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011964063
This paper examines the impact of changes in economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and COVID-19 shock on stock returns. Tests of 16 global stock market indices, using monthly data from January 1990 to August 2021, suggest a negative relation between the stock return and a country’s EPU. Evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813880