The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-09 confirmed the vital importance of advancing our understanding of macrofinancial linkages, the two-way interactions between the real economy and the financial sector. The crisis was a bitter reminder of how sharp fluctuations in asset prices, credit and...

The goal of this paper is to show that household-level financial distress (FD) varies greatly, meaning there is unequal exposure to macroeconomic risk, and that FD can increase macroeconomic vulnerability. To do this, we first establish three facts: (i) regions in the U.S. vary significantly in...

The global financial crisis influenced on the economy, due to the speedy integration of Azerbaijan to the world economical system since independence. Analysing the economy of Azerbaijan, we can see the relations between high level GDP growth and living standard level, fall of the inflation and...

This paper evaluates the impact of Brexit-related uncertainty on the economies of the UK, EU, and the US. We propose a measure of Brexit uncertainty that has not been employed before in the literature. We first construct a binary variable by listing and selecting Brexit-related events according...

The present pitch paper intends to pitch the research idea, its methodology, and possible outcomes by following Faff (2015) pitch my research template. The research topic is "COVID-19 Led Economic Recession Prediction" which aims to forecast the in and out of sample recession indicator values...

The recent demonetization exercise in India is a unique monetary experiment that made 86 percent of the total currency in circulation invalid. In a country where currency in circulation constitutes 12 percent of GDP, the policy turned out to be a purely exogenous macroeconomic shock that...

This paper investigates the real effects of macroprudential policy (MaPP) using individual data from 122 countries. The empirical analysis shows that MaPP increases savings and decreases borrowing. These effects are then disaggregated by policy instrument, interest rate and country income level....

This paper provides a brief analysis of three major questions raised in the context of the recent global financial crisis. First, how similar is the crisis to previous episodes? We argue that the crisis featured some close similarities to earlier ones, including the presence of credit and asset...

I find that the Eurosystem can stimulate the economy beyond the policy rate by increasing the size of its balance sheet or the monetary base. The transmission mechanism turns out to be different compared to traditional interest rate innovations: (i) whilst the effects on economic activity and...

The recent financial crises pointed out the central role of public and private debt in modern economies. However, even if debt is a recurring topic in discussions about the current economic situation, economic modelling does not take into account debt as one of the crucial determinants of...