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Using the approach suggested by Gabaix (Econometrica 2011) this paper demonstrates that idiosyncratic shocks in the largest firms are important for an understanding of aggregate volatility in German manufacturing industries. The implications of this finding for theoretical and empirical research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009519874
Confidence dropped universally across countries and sectors during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe …. Latest survey data suggest that confidence is on track for a v-shaped recovery. The swift implementation of stringent … well with both the drop and recovery of confidence across countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012254217
To investigate how Covid-19 is shaping the way Europeans think about institutions, we conducted a large online survey experiment during the first wave of the epidemic (June). With a randomised survey ow we varied whether respondents are given Covid-related treatment questions first, before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404578
Political trust is foundational to democratic legitimacy, representative governance, and the provision of effective public policy. Various shocks can influence this trust, steering countries onto positive or negative trajectories. This study examines whether natural disasters can impact general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014454664
The effects of supply-side policies in depressed economies are controversial. We shed light on this debate using evidence from France in the 1930s. In 1936, France departed from the gold standard and implemented mandatory wage increases and hours restrictions. Deflation ended but output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961522
Recent evidence suggests that recessions play a crucial role in promoting automation and the reallocation of productive resources. Consistent with this, I show that in the three previous Canadian recessions, routine jobs were disproportionately lost. COVID-19 is likely to have a similar impact,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285610
Policy reforms aimed at boosting long-run growth often have side effects – positive or negative – on an economy’s vulnerability to shocks and their propagation. Macroeconomic shocks as severe and protracted as those since 2007 warrant a reconsideration of the role growth-promoting policies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014151193
Using the approach suggested by Gabaix (Econometrica 2011) this paper demonstrates that idiosyncratic shocks in the largest firms are important for an understanding of aggregate volatility in German manufacturing industries. The implications of this finding for theoretical and empirical research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009356133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009267115
This paper proposes that idiosyncratic firm-level fluctuations can explain an important part of aggregate shocks, and provide a microfoundation for aggregate productivity shocks. Existing research has focused on using aggregate shocks to explain business cycles, arguing that individual firm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156857