Showing 1 - 10 of 8,101
require to bear the risk of fluctuations in stock market volatility. We develop a model in which return volatility and … volatility risk-premia are stochastic and derive no-arbitrage conditions linking volatility to macroeconomic factors. We estimate … realized volatility. We find that volatility risk-premia are strongly countercyclical, even more so than standard measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003848514
require to bear the risk of fluctuations in stock market volatility. We develop a model in which stock volatility and … volatility risk-premia are stochastic and derive no-arbitrage conditions linking volatility to macroeconomic factors. We estimate … realized volatility. We find that volatility risk-premia are strongly countercyclical, even more so than standard measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009558368
This paper investigates if the impact of uncertainty shocks on the US economy has changed over time. To this end, we develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time-varying impact on a range of variables. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
due to taxation and how emergent properties from the interaction of traders like bubbles and crashes, excess volatility …, excess kurtosis and volatility clustering change. Numerical simulations reveal that under taxation traders abstain from short …-term trading in favour of longer investment horizons. This change in behavior leads to less excess volatility and diminishing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003905064
investment horizons. This change in behavior leads to less volatility and less mispricings. When the tax rate exceeds a certain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003935223
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard … deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
This paper investigates if the impact of uncertainty shocks on the U.K. economy has changed over time. To this end, we propose an extended time-varying VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its time-varying impact on key macroeconomic and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011505897
This paper uses a FAVAR model with stochastic volatility to estimate the impact of uncertainty shocks on real income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448758
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US … suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about … these volatility effects are driven by the coexistence of agents' fears of unemployment and concerns about the (in) ability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806