The uncertainty of U.S. core inflation, measured by the stochastic volatility of forecast errors, has soared to a level … increase after a positive shock to core inflation uncertainty in a vector autoregression. Endogenous changes in household … inflation expectations help to understand the transmission mechanism through which an inflation uncertainty shock generates …

This paper applies ARDL and Nonlinear ARDL models to long-term inflation targeting policy mechanisms in the United … States and China to assess the impact of oil price dynamics and asymmetries on inflation expectations in the two countries … changes on inflation expectations, and further provide a theoretical basis for the empirical results. We use data from 2010 to …

Using Italian data that includes both inflation forecasts of firms and external information on their balance sheets, we … study the causal effect of changes in the dispersion of beliefs about future inflation on the misallocation of resources. We … find that as disagreement increases, so does misallocation. In times of low inflation, the aggregate TFP loss of the …