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financial indices. We also find that COVID-19 world cases and deaths are relevant to understand banking cycles co …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239054
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362715
This working paper was written by Hongyi Chen (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research) and Peter Tillmann (University of Giessen).Lockdowns imposed to fight the Covid-19 pandemic have cross-border effects. In this paper, we estimate the empirical magnitude of lockdown spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048624
This working paper was written by Hongyi Chen (Hong Kong Institute for Monetary and Financial Research) and Peter Tillmann (University of Giessen).Lockdowns imposed to fight the Covid-19 pandemic have cross-border effects. In this paper, we estimate the empirical magnitude of lockdown spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048626
We construct a news-based viral disease index and study the dynamic impact of epidemics on the world economy, using … structural vector autoregressions. Epidemic shocks have persistently negative effects, both directly and indirectly, on affected … countries and on world output. The shocks lead to a significant fall in global trade, employment, and consumer prices for three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197902
This paper develops a novel indicator of global economic activity, the GEA Tracker, which is based on commodity prices selected recursively through a genetic algorithm. The GEA Tracker allows for daily real-time knowledge of international business conditions using a minimum amount of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390472
We investigate the role supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic played in U.S. producer price index (PPI) inflation. We exploit pre-pandemic cross-industry variation in sourcing patterns across countries and interact it with measures of international supply chain bottlenecks during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306524
This paper develops a novel indicator of global economic activity, the GEA Tracker, which is based on commodity prices selected recursively through a genetic algorithm. The GEA Tracker allows for daily real-time knowledge of international business conditions using a minimum amount of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314795
Lockdowns imposed to fight the Covid-19 pandemic have cross-border effects. In this paper, we estimate the empirical magnitude of lockdown spillovers in a set of panel local projections. We use daily indicators of economic activity such as stock returns, effective exchange rates, NO2 emissions,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013185744
This paper assesses the impact of US policy responses to the Covid-19 pandemic on various cryptocurrencies and also technology stocks using fractional integration techniques. More precisely, it analyses the behaviour of the percentage returns in the case of nine major coins (Bitcoin - BITC,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013041344