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Did COVID-19 cost Trump the election?
Lake, James; Nie, Jun - 2021
A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421123
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Do elections accelerate the COVID-19 pandemic? : evidence from a natural experiment
Palguta, Ján; Levínský, René; Škoda, Samuel - 2021
according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012589175
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 U.S. presidential election
Baccini, Leonardo; Brodeur, Abel; Weymouth, Stephen - 2021
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391359
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 U.S. presidential election
Baccini, Leonardo; Brodeur, Abel; Weymouth, Stephen - 2020
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311095
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The COVID-19 pandemic and the 2020 U.S. presidential election
Baccini, Leonardo; Brodeur, Abel; Weymouth, Stephen - 2020
What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012315469
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Lockdown and Voting Behaviour : A Natural Experiment on Postponed Elections during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Giommoni, Tommaso; Loumeau, Gabriel - 2020
The goal of this paper is to study the impact of the lockdown policy on voting behaviour, during the COVID-19 pandemic. We focus on France, where a differential lockdown was implemented across departments, based on the local diffusion of the disease. In particular, the country has been divided...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014095017
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Follow the Leader : The Electoral Effect of the COVID-19 Economic Lockdown
Bordignon, Massimo; Franzoni, Federico; Gamalerio, Matteo - 2021
We study the effect of the COVID-19 economic lockdown on electoral outcomes using data on municipal elections in Italy. We implement a difference-in-differences approach that exploits the variation across municipalities in the share of inactive workers due to the economic lockdown introduced by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321781
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Elections and Policies : Evidence from the COVID Pandemic
Grechyna, Daryna - 2023
were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of “lockdown style” restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346606
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Elections and policies : evidence from the Covid pandemic
Grechyna, Daryna - 2023
were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of "lockdown style" restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310050
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The toll of voting in a pandemic : municipal elections and the spread of COVID-19 in Bavaria
Güntner, Jochen - 2020
Elections may take place in precarious environments that even pose health risks. I consider the case of Bavaria, where close to ten million people were asked to vote in the municipal elections on March 15 of 2020, to quantify the toll of elections in a pandemic. Despite declaring a state of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012257274