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We propose an Economic Stability Index (ESI) incorporating house prices and stock prices as components of the measure of the inflation rate in order to allow the European Central Bank (ECB) to achieve both price and macroeconomic stability. We use an optimisation approach to estimate target...
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The housing market is one of the key drivers of economic growth and social welfare in South Africa. However, the performance of the market depends on housing prices which are also subjected to changes in various socio-economic and political factors. The main purpose of this study is to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013461184
With this paper, our objective is to empirically study public debt sustainability by estimating a fiscal reaction function where the primary balance relative to GDP is assumed to be a function of the public debt to GDP ratio of the previous year and of other macroeconomic variables. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335018
The paper investigates the macroeconomic and financial effects of oil prices shocks in the euro area since its creation in 1999, with a special focus on the recent slump. The analysis is carried out episode by episode, within a time-varying parameter framework, consistent with the view that "not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451685
of a time-varying regime switching correlation analysis, the STCC-GARCH, allows to identify the economic variable behind …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988476
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the cross-market correlations between bond, stock and currency forward markets. Using a dynamic conditional correlation … analysis and several robustness tests, we investigate possible differences on the correlation dynamics across four UMP periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863948