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develop an extended Factor Augmented VAR model that simultaneously allows the estimation of a measure of uncertainty and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010472799
In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to … quantity during estimation. Only a limited number of contributions to the literature estimate uncertainty and its macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011978764
inference that feature varying level of trade-off between estimation precision and computational speed. Using monthly data for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314068
volatility to estimate the changing spillover of global oil shocks into the Maltese economy during the period that goes from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380679
In this paper, we analyse the effects of the stimulus packages adopted by the German government during the Great Recession. We employ a standard mediumscale dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model extended by nonoptimising households and a detailed fiscal sector. In particular, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011804350
This paper examines macroeconomic effects and transmission mechanisms of COVID19 in Mongolia, a developing and commodity-exporting economy, by estimating a Bayesian structural vector autoregression on quarterly data. We find strong cross-border spillover effects of COVID-19. Our estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013350796
Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard … deviations. VAR based empirical results support the model implications that contractionary shocks increase volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
We use a factor model with stochastic volatility to decompose the time-varying variance of Macro economic and Financial … component plays an important role in driving the time-varying volatility of nominal and financial variables. The cross …-country co-movement in volatility of real and financial variables has increased over time with the common component becoming more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011306276
This paper uses a FAVAR model with stochastic volatility to estimate the impact of uncertainty shocks on real income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448758
We provide novel evidence that technological news and uncertainty shocks, identified one at a time using VAR models as in the literature, are correlated; that is, they are not truly structural. We then proceed by proposing an identification scheme to disentangle the effects of news and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967370