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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014230462
We examine the predictive power of real time linear monetary models with possible nonlinear adjustment in forecast errors for the GBP/USD exchange rates. Real time revisions of UK and US monetary aggregates and output are significant; therefore the use of final data on fundamentals in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982733
fiscal stance and inflation using cross-country data from 1965 to 1999. In a first step, we contrast the monetary … that the low-frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation is low during periods of an independent central … illustrate the mechanisms through which fiscal actions affect inflation in the long run. The findings from the DSGE model suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011382562
expansion) by focusing on domestic inflation, the foreign exchange (FX) rate, and the quantity of FX traded in the local market …. The empirical results suggest that the inflation rate is largely driven by foreign price and oil shocks. Nevertheless, the … the exchange rate, and slightly increasing the inflation rate. The latter finding has important implications for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014531238
investigated the impact of interest rate uncertainties for different maturities on industrial production, inflation, unemployment … inflation rates. Although we find that uncertainty in interest rate reduces growth of industrial production, we do not find a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014516194
oil prices (exogenous) and a set of endogenous variables, including GDP, M2, and Inflation for the 1970-2013 period, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012240085
Evidence on the effects of negative interest rates on bank lending is inconclusive so far. By applying a difference-in-difference estimation using granular loan level data with a large coverage from Austria, I show, contrary to some previous findings, that the introduction of a negative deposit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332415
Using intra-day data, we assess the impact of the press release on euro area monetary data on the different segments of the euro area yield curve. For this purpose, we estimate a relation between the "news" or "surprise" in the released data for annual M3 growth and the move in the interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137334
Using intra-day data, we assess the impact of the press release on euro area monetary data on the different segments of the euro area yield curve. For this purpose, we estimate a relation between the "news" or "surprise" in the released data for annual M3 growth and the move in the interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316901
The Great Financial Crisis of 2007-09 confirmed the vital importance of advancing our understanding of macrofinancial linkages, the two-way interactions between the real economy and the financial sector. The crisis was a bitter reminder of how sharp fluctuations in asset prices, credit and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929483