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Calibrated models of the business cycle typically assume a certain frequency at which economic agents take decisions. In this paper I show that the local stability properties of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium macro models may depend on the length of a period in the model economy. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704185
Abstract: The partial information rational expectations solution to a general linear multivariate expectational macro-model is found when agents are uncertain about the true values of the model’s parameters. Necessary and sufficient conditions for convergence to the full information rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837039
The analysis of this paper examines the uniqueness of equilibria in a broad class of dynamic monetary models that satisfy Lucas's (1972) natural rate hypothesis (NRH). For a given demand specification, the resulting bounds for determinacy on monetary policy's interest rate rule are the same for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270740
Forward looking agents with expectational errors provide a problem for monetary policy. We show that under such conditions a standard interest rate rule may not achieve determinacy. We suggest a modification to the standard policy rule that guarantees determinacy in this setting, which involves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671101
We examine the nonlinear model x_t = E_t F(x_(t+1)). Markov SSEs exist near an indeterminate steady state, hat(x)=F(hat(x)), provided |F'(hat(x)| 1. Despite the importance of indeterminancy in macroeconomics, earlier results have not provided conditions for the existance of adaptively stable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005593734
We consider the stability under adaptive learning of the complete set of solutions to the model x_i=beta(Ei*)(x_i+1) when |beat| 1. In addition to the fundamentals solution, the literature describes both finite-state Markov sunspot solutions and autoregressive solutions depending on an arbitrary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005763194
This paper makes use of optimal control relaxed problems to prove the absence of optimal trajectory in continuous time models with social increasing returns to scale where indeterminacy occurs. Although an efficient optimal policy does not exist, some chattering stabilization policies can mimic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005697695
Forward looking agents with expectational errors provide a problem for monetary policy. We show that under such conditions a standard interest rate rule may not achieve determinacy. We suggest a modification to the standard policy rule that guarantees determinacy in this setting, which involves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783791
Earlier studies of the seigniorage inflation model have found that the high-inflation steady state is not stable under adaptive learning. We reconsider this issue and analyze the full set of solutions for the linearized model. Our main focus is on stationary hyperinflationary paths near the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298287
We propose a novel approach to deal with the problem of indeterminacy in linear rational expectations models. The method consists of augmenting the original state space with a set of auxiliary exogenous equations to provide the adequate number of explosive roots in presence of indeterminacy. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013189720