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This paper describes business and growth rate cycles with special reference to the Indian economy. It uses the classical NBER approach to determine the timing of recessions and expansions in the Indian economy, as well as the chronology of growth rate cycles, viz., the timing of speedups and...
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A brief overview is provided about India’s long-term growth performance. Then an attempt is made to set out the conditions for successful innovations. To assess the role of innovations in the Indian economy, the estimated contributions of productivity gains to real GDP growth is...
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This paper analyses the impact of domestic and external shocks on the Indian economy. A macro-modelling framework is developed that evaluates the impact of two domestic shocks (rainfall shortfall and fiscal profligacy) and three external shocks (oil price hike, world trade shock and capital flow...
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Inflation management is one of the hardest tasks an economic policymaker has to undertake. It appears, at first sight …, that one can rely entirely on commonsense to carry out this task. But that will be a cardinal mistake. While inflation … understanding of economic theory. This paper tries to bring together the formal analytics that underlie inflation policy. It surveys …
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This Statement sets out the Reserve Bank’s assessment of the current macroeconomic situation and projections. URL:[http://rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/notification/PDFs/APS030511F.pdf].
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