For the past 40 years, the most dynamic economies in the world were China and India. From approx. 5% of US GDP level, China grows to 26% and India to 11% of current US levels. The ratio of foreign trade to GDP is similar for both countries as well as capital flows to GDP. So why did China...

From 1980 through 2020, the rate of population growth declined in both China and India, but the decline was far more pronounced in China. During the same period, per capita income increased substantially in both China and India, but the increase was far more pronounced in China. The fact that...

Objectives, background, context -- Population trends in China and India: -- Demographic dividend or demographic drag? -- China-India: a macroeconomic assessment -- Science and technology -- Chinese & Indian defense and defense procurement spending to 2025 -- Conclusions and implications --...

During recent years there has been an increasing awareness of the explanatory power of demographic variables in economic growth regressions. We estimate a new model of the effects of age structure change on economic growth. We use the new model and recent probabilistic demographic projections...