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The papers in this special issue of Mathematics and Computers in Simulation cover the following topics: improving judgmental adjustment of model-based forecasts, whether forecast updates are progressive, on a constrained mixture vector autoregressive model, whether all estimators are born equal:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326266
bank portfolios. Stress-test is undertaken through the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) model to examine if decline in GDP … the banks of different ownerships in their response to the shocks from real effective exchange rate, capital flows and GDP … output gap. IRF shows that GDP shock to NPA of public and private banks take more than 9 and 8 quarters to stabilize. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936159
Over the last few decades, the Indian economy has experienced both classical business cycles and the cyclical fluctuations in its growth rate known as growth rate cycles. In the years since the liberalization of the economy began, these cycles have been driven more by endogenous factors than by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014109694
The synthesis of dynamic factor model of Stock and Watson (1989) and the regime switching model of Hamilton (1989) proposed by Diebold and Rudebusch (1996) potentially encompasses both features of business cycles identified by Burns and Mitchell (1946) - co-movement among economic variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014102908
The seven largest emerging market economies -China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Turkey- constituted more than one-quarter of global output and more than half of global output growth during 2010-15.These emerging markets, which we call EM7,are also closely integrated with other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060228
The seven largest emerging market economies -China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Turkey- constituted more than one-quarter of global output and more than half of global output growth during 2010-15.These emerging markets, which we call EM7,are also closely integrated with other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696360
Financial sector development can play a crucial role in driving economic growth. Innovation in the payment system can potentially impact output, prices, and monetary policy transmissions. However, there is a conspicuous lack of work on the role of the payment system in driving economic activity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212688
Can we use neoclassical growth model to single out the important transmission channels through which external factors or "primitives" affected the Indian economy and caused the remarkable growth of the period 1982-2002? In this paper, we answer the question by applying the new technique of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003745080
This paper presents a comprehensive set of stylised facts for business cycles in India from 1950-2010. We show that most macroeconomic variables are less volatile in the post reform period, even though the volatility of macroeconomic variables is still high and similar to other emerging market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009550164
Information technology (IT) is an example of a general purpose technology that has the potential to play an important role in economic growth, as well as other dimensions of economic and social development. This paper reviews several interrelated aspects of the role of information technology in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344931